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Market Outlook


14th September 2015 – FII Activity details mentioned below. In the cash market today, FII’s bought 58 crores stock whereas DII’s bought 183 crores worth of stock. In the derivative market, FII’s sold 33 crore of Index futures and sold 171 crores worth of Index options. In the Stock futures segment, FII’s bought 488 crores worth of stock futures and sold 6 crores of stock options. In today’s session, FII’s have reduced  their exposure in Index long futures (by 2%) and their positions in Index shorts is reduced by 0.6 %. In options, FII’s have increased positions in Index Call (long) by 1.9 % and positions in Index Put (long) is increased by 0.9%.

Today was a good day in the market. Day belonged to high beta sectors as they took charge and significantly out performed the defensive sectors. Top performing sectors today were Metals, Banking, Finance and Infrastructure whereas worst performing sectors were Pharma, IT, Consumption, FMCG and Auto. On a medium term time frame, high beta sector is lagging and lot of price repair needs to happen for high beta sectors to take charge again. Volume wise it was a subdued session with Nifty volumes being 21% less than the recent average and Bank Nifty volumes being 4% less than the average. 10% OI expansion happened in Bank Nifty whereas for Nifty it was limited to 3%. Most of the individual stocks saw long build up today with short build up happening in very few counters. OI expansion in individual stocks was also limited and despite good price movement, volume was still relatively subdued. This is understandable on count of recent fall in prices and an important event due this week. USDINR continues to face pressure in the region of 67-67.20. At the time of writing, it was quoting at 66.33. As far as it remains below 67-67.20, odds of a medium term bottom having formed will increase. WPI inflation contracted sharply and even this aided the market in moving up. Focus remains on USDINR. 17th is a holiday for Indian market therefore Fed news will be discounted on Friday’s opening. Reference level for Bank Nifty is 16330. Reference level for Nifty is 7680. Tomorrow we could have a WRB (wide range bar) day.

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