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Market Outlook


1st July 2015 – FII Activity details mentioned below. In the cash market today, FII’s bought 75 crores stock whereas DII’s bought 52 crores worth of stock. In the derivative market, FII’s bought 397 crore of Index futures and bought 825 crores worth of Index options. In the Stock futures segment, FII’s bought 614 crores worth of stock futures and bought 14 crores of stock options. In today’s session, FII’s have increased their exposure in Index long futures (by 5%) and increased their positions in Index shorts by 2%. In options, they have increased positions in Index Call (long) by 6% and positions in Index Put (long) is increased by 2%. On a day like this, it was good to see decent FII figures. Overall for this series, net addition in short positions in Index is still more than net addition in Index longs. Addition in Call options however is now greater than addition in put options for this series. We need more supportive data and gap between longs and shorts should widen in favor of longs.

Today was a good session in the market. Trend of high beta sector under performing one day and bouncing back the following day holds valid as high beta under performed yesterday and out performed today. Sector profile of market was very positive today with high beta sectors leading the market. In today’s session, Infrastructure, Banking, Metals, IT, Auto sector were best performing sectors whereas Pharma, Consumption and FMCG were worst performing sectors. On medium term basis, top performing sectors are Consumption, Infrastructure, Finance, Auto and Banking. Over the past one month, lot of high beta sectors have improved their relative ranking when compared with other sectors. Since this new series has begun, price has been supportive. Across many stocks and Indices, we have had breakouts on smaller time frames and if market has to move up, it should not lose momentum at this stage. FII data is still not indicating any directional positions build up but price wise things are looking positive. Hopefully data will start supporting soon. We remain in a market where positions should be built gradually as price confirms. Reference level for Bank Nifty is 18220 – 182280. Expect a WRB tomorrow.


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