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Market Outlook


27th August 2015 – FII Activity details mentioned below. In the cash market today, FII’s sold 3347 crores stock whereas DII’s bought 2577 crores worth of stock. In the derivative market, FII’s bought 1385 crore of Index futures and bought 276 crores worth of Index options. In the Stock futures segment, FII’s bought 9 crores worth of stock futures and bought 21 crores of stock options. In today’s session, FII’s have reduced their exposure in Index long futures (by 17%) and their positions in Index shorts is reduced by 51 %. In options, FII’s have reduced positions in Index Call (long) by 36 % and positions in Index Put (long) is reduced by 34 %. Data to be ignored for 1-2 sessions due to expiry effect.

Today was a good session in the market as broad based buying was seen across sectors. Expiry happened on a positive note as short rollovers did not happen to the extent one had anticipated. Fresh series will begin tomorrow and positions will be adjusted within 1-2 sessions. Some stability returned today in high beta sectors which was a good thing to see. But high beta sectors need to build on this before any sort of conclusion can be drawn. Even now, the daily data does not indicate that buying is returning to the market. Its still a wait and watch scenario for positional index traders. Stock specific traders particularly in defensive sectors like Pharma, IT, FMCG and Consumption are still seeing gains as these sectors continue to be the leaders in the market. High beta stock specific traders need to be careful as most of the high beta sectors are out of favor at present. One cannot say whether new bout of buying has begun in them or the current move is a retracement of the fall we saw from 20th August. Therefore, long positions should be initiated in favorable sectors rather than sectors which are witnessing heavy selling. Today top performing sectors were Finance, FMCG, Pharma, Metal and Banking whereas worst performing sectors were Infrastructure, Consumption, Auto and Information Technology. Reference level for Bank Nifty is 18050. Reference level for Nifty is 8200.

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