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Market Outlook

06 DEC 2016

 FII Activity details mentioned below. In the cash market today, FII’s sold 1310 crores stock whereas DII’s bought 1211 crores worth of stock. In the derivative market, FII’s bought 1170 crore of Index futures and bought 1198 crores worth of Index options. In the Stock futures segment, FII’s bought 684 crores worth of stock futures and sold 66 crores stock options. In today’s session, FII’s have increased their exposure in Index long futures (by 28%) and their positions in Index shorts is increased by 16 %. In options, FII’s have decreased positions in Index Call (long) by 3% and positions in Index Put (long) is increased by 2 %.

 Today was again a day of correction in the market. Global markets consolidated mostly. USDINR is now above the 68 mark and for now is sustaining above it. Down move in the market is continuing. While local factors are also affecting the markets, global factors have their role as well. We are just in that kind of market where keeping cash in hand is also a position. Market had given ample signs to reduce/remove any positions and we will just have to wait till markets again present an opportunity to take any position in stocks/futures. Lot of global market events are lined up in the next 15 days and therefore volatility as such will persist. RBI policy on 7th December and Italy referendum on 4th December are very important for the short term. FII’s are continuing to sell in cash and derivative segment and as of now there are no signs of any slowdown. Medium term resistance level for Bank Nifty is 19530 (spot). Resistance level for Nifty is 8600 (spot). Midcaps,Small cap and Bank Nifty are above historic valuation level. Nifty historic valuations in expensive territory as well.

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